Analýza dopravních nehod na hlavních silnicích v ČR (2010–2018) odhalila pomocí metody shlukování tři typy hotspotů: vznikající, stabilní a zanikající. Stabilní hotspoty tvoří asi 50 % nehod a pokrývají 6,8–8,2 % délky sítě.
Abstract:
A number of traffic crash databases at present contain the precise positions and dates of these events. This feature allows for detailed spatiotemporal analysis of traffic crash patterns.
We applied a clustering method for identification of traffic crash hotspots to the rural parts of primary roads in the Czech road network (3,933 krn) where 55,296 traffic crashes occurred over 2010 - 2018. The data were analyzed using a 3-year time window which moved forward with a one-day step as an elementary temporal resolution. The spatiotemporal behavior of hotspots could therefore be analyzed in great detail.
All the identified hotspots, during the monitored nine-year period, covered between 6.8% and 8.2% of the entire road network length in question. The percentage of traffic crashes within the hotspots remained stable over time at approximately 50%. Three elementary types of hotspots were identified when analyzing spatiotemporal crash patterns: hotspot emergence, stability and disappearance. Only 100 hotspots were stable (remained in approximately the same position) over the entire nine-year period. This approach can be applied to any traffic-crash time series when the precise positions and date of crashes are available.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0143622818309081